Modeling of the intercivilization fault effect on the conflict intensity throughout the world

Using the mathematical apparatus of multifactor regression analysis, concept faults between civilizations is verified, formalized and refined. The ethnocultural civilizational distribution countries specified on basis fuzzy cluster method. model fault lines elaborated, which affords opportunity to estimate analyze quantitative values these faults. Formally, developed offers way determine evolutionary regularities, systematize econometrically verify defining characteristics actual clashes. results an analysis comparison modeling data intercivilizational in 2008 2018 revealed tendencies individual unite clash, effect global conflict as well. dependence threats proliferation weapons their components assessed. socio-economic indicators clashing determined. correspondence outcomes real state verified by with historical data. study encourage form a comprehensive vision nature modern clashes, whose emergence caused civilizations, formal regularities course.